Football Hotpage Week 1 – Here We go

After four miserable weeks of pre-season games we are all ready to start the season.  Just about everyone leaves their draft with the winning team, but 50% of season-long players are in for a rude awakening come Tuesday morning when week one is in the books.  But in the DFS world, it is just one independent week.  If you are planning to play DFS Football for the  first time, set your budget for the season and stick to it.  Do not go nuts in week one.  Money management is a core to DFS success.  The other key is to determine if you want to focus on cash games (50/50, etc) or GPP tournaments.  Roster construction is different for the two types of games.  Cash game lineups tend to focus on players with the highest floors while GPP tournament roster constructions tends to focus on players with higher ceilings.  Each week during the season I will highlight the players that I consider the best plays at each position for GPP lineups.  I tend to enter DraftKings single entry contests.  I can’t compete bankroll-wise with the mega-multi entry players so I try to stay away, but I believe that I can compete against anyone on a single-entry basis.

YOU WILL NOT WIN EVERY WEEK PLAYING IN SINGLE-ENTRY GPP TOURNAMENTS.  That is just a fact.  But you have to trust your process and budget your money for all 17 weeks.  Once a week is over, try to learn and improve each week.  Check of the lineups from the top teams in the tournaments that you enter.  Trust your process and learn with improve it.

Here are my top players at each position for week one with my lineup at the bottom:

QB Tom Brady NE 7200 Highest total on the board with shaky run game
QB Drew Brees NO 6800 Will show that 2017 was a fluke for TD passes
QB Deshaun Watson HOU 6700 See Brady
QB Philip Rivers LAC 6400 KC defense is completely different from 2017
QB Andy Dalton CIN 5800 Against very shaky Colts secondary
QB Tyrod Taylor CLE 5400 Needs to produce to fend off Baker
QB Joe Flacco BAL 4900 New cast of receivers looks much improved
RB Alvin Kamara NO 8500 2017 was not a fluke
RB Ezekiel Elliott DAL 7700 Only offense the Cowboys have
RB Leonard Fournette JAX 7100 Guaranteed 20+ carries vs. marginal defense
RB Melvin Gordon LAC 6800 Even more receptions in 2018?
RB Christian McCaffrey CAR 6400 Can he handle 20+ touches per game
RB Alex Collins BAL 5600 Bal could grind with a big lead early
RB Derrick Henry TEN 5400 Lewis is a risk, but Henry gets big runs
RB Carlos Hyde CLE 4500 Chubb not an early threat
RB Royce Freeman DEN 4500 Fastest mover up the fantasy board
RB Peyton Barber TB 4100 Threat of blowout is a risk
RB James White NE 4000 Is he guaranteed 10 targets?
WR DeAndre Hopkins HOU 8300 Watson’s favorite comes at a big price
WR Michael Thomas NO 7800 Target monster expecting positive TD regression
WR Tyreek Hill KC 6500 Continues to flash big plays
WR Stefon Diggs MIN 6300 Primed for a huge season with new QB
WR Chris Hogan NE 6100 Top dog with Edelman out
WR Jarvis Landry CLE 5500 Trying to take lead of new team
WR Michael Crabtree BAL 5400 Should be Flacco’s primary target
WR Emmanuel Sanders DEN 5000 Clicked with Keenum in pre-season
WR Keelan Cole JAX 3800 Lead in Jax with Lee done
WR Antonio Callaway CLE 3100 Let’s see if he is for real
TE Rob Gronkowski NE 6900 Most dominant TE in the sport
TE Travis Kelce KC 6400 How will he connect with new QB and OC?
TE Kyle Rudolph MIN 4500 Cousins loves his tight end
TE Tyler Eifert CIN 3400 Get him while he is still healthy
TE David Njoku CLE 3400 A monster with more time on the field
TE Ricky Seals-Jones ARI 3000 Almost as cheap as you can get
DST Ravens 3800 Will be the chalk and rightly so
DST Saints 3600 Great alternative to Ravens
DST Broncos 3300 Sneaky good defense
DST Titans 2900 The Dolphins are offensively challenged
DST Chargers 2800 Expect the new Chiefs QB to be erratic
QB Drew Brees 6800 NO
RB Alvin Kamara 8500 NO
RB Christian McCaffrey 6400 DAL
WR Michael Thomas 7800 CAR
WR Chris Hogan 6100 NE
WR Antonio Callaway 3100 CLE
RB James White 4000 NE
TE Tyler Eifert 3400 CIN
DST Ravens 3800 TEN
49900

 

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