I don’t like commenting on other teams’ picks, but I’ll make this one exception. Saturday night it was raining in Southern California (don’t tell Albert Hammond), so I decided to enter an NFBC $350 mixed league, 12-team draft. I much prefer these money drafts to mocks, as they are more likely to have players who actually care (after all, it is a $350.00 investment). You would think that the owners would try to compete.
Well, in this instance, perhaps Team 3 didn’t get the memo. Drafting third is a tough position in a mixed league, whether it is a 12-teamer or 15-teamer. It’s tough because you have to choose from among the likes of Trea Turner, Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt, Mookie Betts, Giancarlo Stanton and Clayton Kershaw. Depending upon how you wish to start your team, a solid argument can be made for each of those options. Wait, did I mention “others?”
Team 3 went off the board for his/her first pick, snagging Domingo Santana with the third pick in the first round of our draft. No, that’s not a misprint. It’s important to get the players that you want, and Santana might be this year’s MVP. He might break Barry Bonds’ single season home run record, Rickey Henderson’s stolen base record, and/or Hack Wilson’s RBI record. It’s not likely, but perhaps Team 3 knows more than you, me, and everyone else. However, and as much as I detest ADP, it’s clear that in a 12-team league, Santana could have been left safely to the 6th round without breaking a sweat wondering if he would be taken.
I kept waiting for the draft to be paused so Team 3 could make a “real” pick, but that never happened. Proving that he/she didn’t mistakenly pick Santana, Team 3 backed that pick up by taking Ian Happ with the 22nd pick. Yes, that’s the same Ian Happ who is presently going, on average, 136th in the NFBC. Don’t get me wrong, I like Happ. Given a reasonable amount of playing time, Happ might outperform his ADP by a few rounds. Nonetheless, taking Happ almost ten rounds before his ADP is borderline criminal.
Team 3 was back at it in the third and fourth rounds, grabbing Jose Peraza and Ryon Healy, respectively. Peraza went 117 picks earlier than his ADP and Healy was 135 picks too early if you give any credence to ADP. Team 3 selected Byron Buxton in the fifth round, exactly where he had been going in previous drafts, and James Paxton in the 6th, pretty much where others were taking Paxton. Selecting 3rd in the 7th round, Team 3 took Miguel Cabrera, just one round early, which is quite definitely well within reason.. It certainly appeared like Team 3 was at the draft, engaged, and ready to try to compete. Well, appearances can be deceiving.
While not to the level of Santana, Happ, Peraza or Healy, Team 3 took Alex Wood (8th), Evan Gattis (9th) and Garrett Richards (10th), all reaches at their respective selection rounds. After taking Sean Doolittle in the 11th, Team 3 went back it its mysterious ways, choosing Aaron Hicks in the 12th (six rounds early), Mitch Haniger in the 13th (five rounds early), Scott Kingery in the 15th (nine rounds early), Felix Hernandez in the 16th (six rounds early), Ryan McMahon in the 17th (nine rounds early) and Nate Jones in the 20th (ten rounds early).
Granted, this is all compared to the ADP, but you can compare it to any draft projection site or cheat list, (except for Team 3’s), and you’ll find that all these picks were huge reaches. In fact, Team 3 had eight of the ten biggest reaches, with the other two being Team 11’s 28th round pick of Jose Urena, and my 29th round shot in the dark on Dominic Leone. Reaching after round 20 is expected and perhaps encouraged. Past statistics demonstrate that over 80% of the players drafted in the last six rounds are cut prior to the all-star break. So, why not reach?
But reaching with the first four picks in a draft? Fantasy suicide.
My first thought when Team 3 selected Domingo Santana was of course, that it was a mistake.
When that proved to be incorrect, I thought, “Cool, I’m playing in a fantasy league with Domingo Santana’s mother.” However, when Team 3 chose Ian Happ, and after I failed to find any familial relationship between Santana and Happ (yes, I looked), I knew I wasn’t drafting with Ms. Santana or Ms. Happ.
My next thought was the C-Word, collusion. Perhaps Team 3 had a friend in the league and was trying to dump to allow said mate to have a better team and a shot at the overall prize money. Had two other teams adopted the same (lack of) strategy as Team 3, that theory might have held water. Fortunately, the other 11 teams all seemed to enjoy the benefit of having Team 3 in our league, with no other owner making such outlandish picks. Indeed, by about the 10th round, we were all getting a shot at players about a round later than expected, as Team 3 had literally passed on many of his early round picks. So, collusion was out as well. I guess I’ll never know, but if nothing else, we now know that the President of the Domingo Santana Fan Club plays in the NFBC.
Obviously, while there were numerous benefits to being with Team 3, there was one very small drawback. Like playing poker with someone who had never played before, you just never knew where Team 3’s proverbial dart might land. Once, it landed rounds earlier than I had anticipated on a player I was planning on taking in the reserve rounds. Even with that minor inconvenience, drafting with Team 3 was certainly a pleasure.
Now, if only can find a way to invite him/her into my Main Event League…
Here’s the team that I drafted from the 12-hole, with a big assist to Team 3:
C Welington Castillo (16th round)
C Tyler Flowers (22nd round)
1b Rhys Hoskins (4th round)
2b Ian Kinsler (17th round)
3b Rafael Devers (10th round)
SS Jean Segura (8th round)
CI Justin Turner (7th round)
MI Eduardo Nunez (11th round)
Of Bryce Harper (1st round
Of Tommy Pham (5th round)
Of Khris Davis (6th round)
Of Nomar Mazara (12th round)
Of Brett Gardner (15th round)
UT Carlos Gomez (23rd round)
P Chris Sale (2nd round)
P Carlos Carrasco (3rd round)
P Jon Lester (9th round)
P Gio Gonzalez (13th round)
P Alex Colome (14th round)
P Kelvin Herrera (18th round)
P Lance Lynn (20th round)
P Cole Hamels (24th round)
P Joakim Soria (19th round)
Res Ervin Santana (21st round)
Res Josh Harrison (25th round)
Res Zach Britton (26th round)
Res Jackie Bradley (27th round
Res Miles Mikolas (28th round)
Res Dominic Leone (29th round)
Res Tim Beckham (30th round)
Best of luck,
Buster