NFBC Notebook 4/15/18
A refrain I often hear in NFBC analysis is that it’s impossible to win the Main Event when you punt a category. This is incorrect. In fact, when we won …
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Last Year’s Or This Year’s Bums
The ‘Last Year’s Bums’ concept has served me well over the years. Recency bias sometimes weighs recent performance disproportionately, especially if we know of certain circumstances that contributed to the …
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NFBC Main Event Tips
The NFBC 15-Team Main Event kicks off in about four and a half weeks. Which makes this a good time to review some general guidelines that have served me well …
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FIP Your Wig
Sabermetricians commonly preach regression to the mean, and to that end FIP is used as a common indicator of regression candidates. Some prefer xFIP because that stat attempts to ‘normalize’ …
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NFFC Playoff Challenge – Challenges Ahead
If you didn’t accurately pick neither a New England/Jacksonville AFC Championship game, nor a Philadelphia/Minnesota NFC Championship game, don’t feel bad. You are not alone. Las Vegas correctly picked four …
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NFFC Playoff Challenge
It’s been a while. My last Outside the Box column was posted back on March 3, 2010. In that column, I wrote about, among others, Michael Bourn, Raul Ibanez, Nyger …
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Compartmentalizing Defense and Other Things
One common error I see in DFS number crunching (and season long leagues, for that matter) is in analyzing matchups based on yards allowed or fantasy points allowed to a …
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